Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000239 0.000265 0.000295 0.000329
2025-05-04 0.000139 0.000166 0.000198 0.000237 0.000287 0.000346 0.000422
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000240 0.000308 0.000396 0.000520
2025-05-18 0.000103 0.000135 0.000178 0.000238 0.000322 0.000437 0.000608
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000236 0.000334 0.000474 0.000697
2025-06-01 0.000082 0.000115 0.000161 0.000233 0.000342 0.000507 0.000781
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000104 0.000151 0.000225 0.000342 0.000525 0.000845
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000100 0.000148 0.000228 0.000358 0.000571 0.000959
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000232 0.000378 0.000624 0.001093
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000090 0.000140 0.000227 0.000380 0.000648 0.001177
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000083 0.000131 0.000217 0.000372 0.000653 0.001227
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000079 0.000129 0.000218 0.000384 0.000694 0.001352
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000223 0.000404 0.000755 0.001534
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000073 0.000124 0.000221 0.000413 0.000798 0.001687
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000223 0.000429 0.000856 0.001885
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000068 0.000119 0.000222 0.000437 0.000899 0.002058
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000220 0.000445 0.000942 0.002240
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000217 0.000450 0.000979 0.002412
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000210 0.000444 0.000989 0.002515
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000212 0.000460 0.001057 0.002792
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000217 0.000482 0.001140 0.003132
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000481 0.001166 0.003310
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000203 0.000468 0.001158 0.003377